With home prices in Arcadia continuing to rise and interest rates stabilizing around 6.25%, many residents are asking: “Is it better to buy or rent?” Let’s compare the numbers for a $1,199,000 home purchase using 95% conventional financing with forecasted appreciation of 5.54% per year over the next 9 years.
📊 Buying Scenario
- Home Price: $1,199,000
- Down Payment (5%): $59,950
- Loan Amount: $1,139,050
- Interest Rate: 6.25%
- APR: 6.397%
- Monthly Mortgage (P&I): ~$7,006
- Property Taxes (1.25%): ~$1,249/month
- Home Insurance + PMI + Maintenance: ~$900/month
- Total Monthly Payment: ~$9,155/month
📈 Appreciation & Equity
- Annual Appreciation: 5.54%
- Estimated Home Value in 9 Years: ~$2,010,000
- Estimated Loan Balance in 9 Years: ~$1,021,000
- Estimated Equity in 9 Years: ~$989,000
🏠 Renting Scenario
- Current Rent Estimate for Comparable Home in Arcadia: ~$5,500/month
- Annual Rent Increase Estimate: 4%
- Total Rent Paid Over 9 Years: ~$664,000
- Equity Gained: $0
💡 Summary
| Metric | Buying | Renting |
|---|---|---|
| Total Cost Over 9 Years | ~$987,000 (net of equity) | ~$664,000 |
| Estimated Equity Gained | ~$989,000 | $0 |
| Net Gain/Loss | +$2,000+ in equity vs cost | -$664,000 (no equity) |
🧠 Bottom Line: Even though buying has higher upfront and monthly costs, the long-term appreciation in Arcadia builds substantial wealth. After 9 years, you could walk away with nearly $1 million in equity, far outpacing the cost of renting.
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